it's not going to help them. For Siri to be really useful it wouldn't need deep system integration and an external model is not going to provide that. People don't believe me when I said it about Apple Intelligence with open AI

claude

Claude operate this patient Claude build my kitchen Claude produce a billion mobile phones

snapshots are local Time Machine backups for a few hours which don't need external hard drives and are configured by default I think

i'm a real developer and it is absolutely magic! if someone showed me a demo of talking to a computer which works for one hour to find and fix my bugs all on its own five years ago I'd definitely call it magic and I still call it magic.

does it make a mistakes? yes sometimes but you can verify with tests or with lean.

I experience(d) the same level of magic when I throw keywords into google and get relevant results back. LLMs are just an extension of this kind of magic.

Their efficacy opens up a lot more possibility, but given they’re not AGI (without getting into a definitions debate) a lot of the magic is gone. Nothing fundamentally changed. I still use them a lot and they’re great, but it’s not a new paradigm (which I would then call magic).

I think the key point here too is LLMs demo like magic. You see the happy path and you think we have AGI. You show me of 10 years ago the happy path and I’d be floored until I talked to me of now and got the whole story.

Agreed. Imagine if a developer was in a comma for 3 years, wakes up, and sees a state of the art coding agent for the first time.

They'll be impressed for a few months and then start to notice where it fails.

It's not perfect. When you hire a new software dev, you'll quickly notice where he/she fails too.

in theory the probability of your vote mattering is about as high as winning the lottery

mattering doesn't mean you get what you wanted/voted for. Mattering means your vote was counted among the hundreds of millions, and the ultimate consensus reached, and the minority voters have accept the result of the majority voters.

I think people have (recently at least) mistakenly believed that democracy means your vote is a demand to be fulfilled, and if it isn't, then democracy is failing.

by betting on the wrong horse Toyota positions itself for irrelevancy

Opus is multimodal??

Are we talking red bull age or younger?

it's a self-isolated participant of the old world, back water of the back water so to speak

I didn't expect this to be the top comment so I posted an identical take without reading first