What other industry regularly acts in such bad faith with respect to claims made? In the securities industry, material misstatement of fact lands people in jail.
"At this point, tech biz leaders are massively over-reaching and trying to influence the rest of us:"
I realize this is what's happening on the headlines, but most of the technology being "deployed" is back-office automation, robotics etc. that no one writes about and none of the tech baddies have monopolistic control over. I refuse to let muxk, thiel, Karp to run the conversation and setup the reaction either. It is exciting and dramatic but not necessarily influential.
Gee, what an optimistic outlook you have. Do you think the truly creative innovators in the fields of tech, science, engineering, and art get out of bed in the morning believing that they are just grimly marching down a path laid out by someone else? While OP’s philosophy may be a bit rosy, it sure leads to better outcomes than dark fatalism.
Forecasts are a thought exercise, not the revelation of something foretold. Best thing to do is think of the outcome you wish for and then try to take whatever actions you can to help make it so. Like with climate change for example.
It can be both. In the field of high-technology (like semiconductor) manufacturing, the techinques of making chips with feature sizes many generations ahead of current SOTA exist in various states of completion, so extrapolation can be made from that.
But what's going on in here is not that - it's reading tea leaves for maximum dramatic effect.
1. so is everyone who is subject to a corporate mandate... but...
2. this may be ok. A good way to learn a piece of software or tool or process is to play with it. We learn lots of general knowledge through play and experimentation. Heck we get better at musical instruments by playing on them.
Mandates are kind of dumb in many ways. But they will force the issue of discovering whether anything useful can come from AI other than coding.
I’m not sure anyone needs to break anything. I’m not sure this is a commercially viable business once all of the VC and foreign funding scaffolding goes away.